By R. Sasankan
India seems to
have gone into a tizzy after Pakistan recently reported a major oil and gas
find in its territorial waters that could give it the bragging rights to claim
ownership of the world's fourth largest oil and gas reserves.
The report has
galvanized the Government of India and the national oil companies (NOCs) to
announce an aggressive exploration and production (E&P) programme in the
country that will be packed with sufficient incentives to disarm the
reservations of global oil giants that have generally refrained from acquiring
oil and gas fields in the country.
Pakistan's major
oil discovery is the consequence of prolonged exploration efforts and the
lessons learnt from a long list of failures in the past. But it is still not
certain that the global oil giants will flock to that country. Pakistan's
petroleum minister, Musadik Malik, admitted that international oil companies
(IOCs) were still reluctant to take up E&P work in Pakistan because of
perceived threats and the high costs to ensure security of assets and
personnel. Many believe that this will brighten India's chances of luring these
players to India where these threats have never been experienced or foreseen.
Coincidentally,
S&P Global recently revealed that India could hold up to 22 billion barrels
of oil and gas in just four of the largely unexplored basins: Mahanadi, Andaman
Sea, Bengal, and Kerala-Konkan. This is in addition to the potential that
already exists in not only the new acreages in the producing basins but also in
other frontier basins. It is against that backdrop that the Indian Petroleum
Minister, Hardeep Puri, has announced investment opportunities for E&P work
in India worth $ 100 billion.
It is worth
remembering at this stage that the few new discoveries made by ONGC in the
recent past have been confined to Bengal onshore, Mahanadi offshore, and the
Vindhyas in Madhya Pradesh. We are not very sure why these new discoveries were
not pursued with the vigour and urgency that they deserved. The tardiness could
possibly have stemmed from a general loss of focus in E&P efforts.
The recent oil
find in Pakistan should encourage ONGC, and to some extent Oil India Ltd (OIL),
to introspect about their lapses and review all facets of the past exploration
efforts not only in the frontier basins but also in the producing basins to
identify the elusive reserves, particularly in the older sedimentary rocks of
India. We have been able to accumulate merely 10% of the discovered reserves in
this country as against the global average of nearly 80% of reserves in the
older sediments - and that is a deficiency that we need to ponder upon.
We also need to
confront a stark reality. If we cast an eye on the past bidding rounds for oil
exploration blocks, we will be forced to acknowledge an uncomfortable truth:
national oil companies (NOCs) have dominated E&P work in India. In fact,
unconfirmed reports suggest that NOCs were actually browbeaten by the
government on several occasions to bid for a large number of blocks against
their will just to satisfy bureaucratic desire to certify the success of the
bidding rounds.
In the backdrop
of the new developments, it is nevertheless necessary to ensure that the NOCs
continue to play the pioneering role in opening up the frontier basins. The
IOCs and the private operators will set foot in these basins only when they see
some promising signs from the efforts of the NOCs.
The application
of state-of-the-art technologies in the entire value chain of E&P work -
from G&G data acquisition to fit-for-purpose hi-tech drilling and
completion of wells, supported by cost-effective logistics and technological
services - will be the key to achieving success in the geologically-complex and
logistically-challenging terrains of these basins.
But the recent
actions of the government indicate a contradictory stance. For example, instead
of enhancing the capabilities, the board of ONGC today does not include a
Director(Drilling). E&P has always been a major cost centre with because of
ever-changing technology input requirements. Therefore, a dilution of the focus
on what many consider the core responsibility of ONGC diminishes the worth of
this function and, by extension, the raison d'etre of the organization itself.
At the same
time, a new position of Director (Business development and strategy) has been
created, probably to justify the reduced focus on E&P activity, which has
been the bread- and-butter activity of the company. This sends out the message
that ONGC will continue to diversify and move away from its core activity.
Surely the position of Director (BD & Strategy) should never have usurped
the position of Director (Drilling). If necessary, a new position as Director
(BD & Strategy) could have been created even though many will question its
rationale.
It is important
to assert that NOCs in India should not be permitted to digress from their core
E&P work until all the basins in the country are reasonably explored. As
long as they remain as upstream NOCs, there can be no compromise on this issue.
The reasons are
simple: even in the last bidding round (OALP-IX), ONGC (on its own and in
alliance with others) emerged as the largest bidder with bids for 19 out of the
28 blocks on offer. Therefore, it is necessary to ensure that they divest their
downstream assets to the downstream NOCs. Instead, they should be encouraged to
concentrate only on E&P work and other related businesses like CBM,
Underground coal gasification, geothermal energy from subsurface, E&P of
natural (white) hydrogen, wind energy in deep offshore etc. both within India
and outside.
The need for
them to diversify into the downstream arena can be re-examined only after the
Indian frontier basins have been reasonably explored. The composition of the
Board of ONGC should also be restructured immediately, taking into account the
challenges arising from state-of-the art conduct of E&P and related
operations in the future.
This has become
important in the context of the fact that India's crude import dependence has
risen to 87 per cent now. Contrast this with the position in the mid 1980s when
domestic crude oil production from Bombay High under the accelerated production
plan met 80 per cent of domestic demand. There has been no major discovery
since Bombay High in early 1970s. Bombay High itself was a surprise discovery;
the location was recommended by a Russian geologist. Pakistan's latest oil find
should inspire ONGC and OIL to intensify their exploration activities.
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